Quick house bet

It’s possible that house prices will fall a little in 2008. It’s just about possible they may even fall by a lot (although I’d happily stake my life that they’ll fall by less than 20%).

However, it’s absolutely certain that house prices by the end of 2012 will be higher in real terms than they are now. And it’s highly likely that the return on house prices between now and the end of 2012 will exceed the base interest rate.

“So, why don’t you put your money where your mouth is?” – well, because I’m quite happy in my current rented set-up, I’m not sure about where I’m going to be living for the next two years (during which time I accept I could lose money), and I don’t want to be a landlord right now.

Still, anyone who thinks that an investor with more than five years’ liquidity/time before they’d like to sell will lose money (say, the government on Northern Rock’s house estate…) is an idiot.

Just in case your blog is Top Sekrit

[sorry, this post is written in Incomprehensible Geek. If you don’t understand what the four letters and three characters before “www.johnband.org” on your screen to the top-left of this post mean, then it’s not for you. On the other hand, if you’re using a browser esoteric enough that the address isn’t displayed Up Top, then it almost certainly is.]

Does anyone know of a blog that’s hosted on a secure http site? Or perhaps more relevantly, can anyone think of a reason why the hell anyone would choose to host their publicly accessible blog on a secure http site?

What about ftp? Does anyone write a blog in text documents and upload it to their ftp server? Does this strike you as a sensible thing to do? How about writing your blog on Usenet and linking to articles in a “news:xxxx-xxxx-xxxx-xxxx” format? No? How about hosting it on a telnet server, for that true retro 1980s feel?

Let’s be honest, here – if you have a blog, then its URI will always, always, always begin with “http”. So why the sodding hell do some of the comedians who write blogging comments software insist on you including the protocol when asking you for the site address? ‘Ah yes, thanks for rejecting my comment there; after all, I didn’t specify the protocol, and wouldn’t want people to miss my amazing Gopher page’.

Eejits. Just because you’re programming a computer, doesn’t mean you have to accept the same degree of meaningless anality about your inputs that a machine would…