Thought on Nate Silver and election projection

This is technically true (random quote from blog commenter, but one which reflects a lot of educated-people-who-know-about-stats opinion on the Silver model): Silver's analysis (which I happen to accept) won't be contradicted (or proven) in any way by tomorrow's outcome. Either result is accounted for in the model. People seem not to understand that. However, … Continue reading Thought on Nate Silver and election projection

In order to protect the children, we had to imprison them

In the context of the neo-puritan trial of Simon Walsh (description of case NSFW although text-only) for possessing 'extreme pornography' - in UK law, the simple ownership of photos of consenting adults doing kinky things to each other that could cause physical damage - civil liberties defender David Allen Green made the point that "the trial is about … Continue reading In order to protect the children, we had to imprison them

The Boeing Comet is still on sale

The first jetliner was Boeing's square-windowed 707; it was grounded after a few months following tragic incidents which wiped out a fair proportion of elite Americans. The money flowing to De Havilland to create a civilian airliner progamme to promote their non-murderous plane trumped nationalist concerns. Despite the fact that the 707 is a finer … Continue reading The Boeing Comet is still on sale

Why the G4S Olympics screw-up proves that outsourcing is good

Everyone seems very upset about the fact that private security firm G4S has not delivered as many guards as contracted to police the white elephant that is Sports Day 2012, with many people suggesting it's an example of why outsourced contracts are terrible . I'm not sure they should. Let's rewind on what's happened here... G4S … Continue reading Why the G4S Olympics screw-up proves that outsourcing is good

All open letters are pathetic in the same way

Inspired by the "send a letter to the Government of Ecuador" left-meme, here's my letter to the Government of Ecuador: Dear the Government of Ecuador. You've got a slightly disturbing Cuba-light personality cult going, and Julian Assange is an autistic pervert who I wouldn't let within a hundred yards of any female friends or relations. … Continue reading All open letters are pathetic in the same way

The sun is, most likely, still gonna shine in November

After a massively high-spending recall campaign, a controversial Republican state governor has held onto power with a slightly increased majority (while losing control of the state senate). Naturally, the oh-so-left-wing US media are spinning this as Terrible Democrat Defeat, Disaster Due for November, etc. To highlight the fact that this spin is absolute dingoes' kidneys, it's … Continue reading The sun is, most likely, still gonna shine in November

100% true, 100% of the time

From Ian B at Tim's place: The problem with a society in the grip of a moral panic- an example is the Gay Panic that started in Victorian England- is that it does not recognise it. The hysterical and extreme behaviours exhibited by panickers are considered not only normal, not even just desirable, but effectively … Continue reading 100% true, 100% of the time