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	<title>Banditry &#187; lying with statistics</title>
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	<description>The idle musings of John B</description>
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		<title>99% of men are rapists or nose-pickers</title>
		<link>http://www.johnband.org/blog/2009/03/06/99-of-men-are-rapists-or-nose-pickers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.johnband.org/blog/2009/03/06/99-of-men-are-rapists-or-nose-pickers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2009 14:02:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John B</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bit of politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistrickery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amnesty International]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[disappointment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lying with statistics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m not a fan of violence against anyone, irrespective of their gender.
But I don&#8217;t give a toss about &#8216;violence against women&#8217;, any more than I give a toss about &#8216;violence against ginger people&#8217; or &#8216;violence against taxidermists&#8217;.
If women were disproportionately likely to be the victims of violence, then perhaps there would be some sanity in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not a fan of violence against anyone, irrespective of their gender.</p>
<p>But I don&#8217;t give a toss about &#8216;violence against women&#8217;, any more than I give a toss about &#8216;violence against ginger people&#8217; or &#8216;violence against taxidermists&#8217;.</p>
<p>If women were disproportionately likely to be the victims of violence, then perhaps there would be some sanity in focusing campaigns about violence against them. The shooting of a young black man is no more or less bad than the shooting of an old white woman, but focusing anti-gun-crime efforts on young black men does make sense, as they&#8217;re the most likely to suffer from it.</p>
<p>But since men are <a href="http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/pdfs08/hosb0708chap3.pdf#page=12">twice as likely as women to be the victims of violent crime</a>, that logic doesn&#8217;t seem to apply here.</p>
<p>So, while I&#8217;d urge anyone reading this blog who commits acts of violence against people to stop, I wouldn&#8217;t be backing Amnesty&#8217;s <a href="http://blog.protectthehuman.com/each-year-around-1-in-10-women-in-britain-experience-rape-or-other-violence/">OneTen campaign</a> even if it were honestly promoted and based on real evidence.</p>
<p>But it isn&#8217;t. </p>
<p>According to the press release for said campaign: &#8220;Each year, around 1 in 10 women in Britain experience rape or other violence&#8221;. This is an epic piece of dishonesty, and anyone with any integrity at all should rail against Amnesty for it, no matter how much they oppose wifebeating.</p>
<p>For one, we know, based on the most accurate data collated &#8211; the British Crime Survey linked above &#8211; that the figure is one in 40, not one in 10.</p>
<p>More importantly, even the one in 40 figure is for all violent crime. Bringing rape, which is perpetrated on <a href="http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/pdfs08/hosb0708chap3.pdf#page=9">less than one in 100 men or women</a>, into the mix is tabloid chicanery at its absolute worst &#8211; it is the same literally true but completely misleading statistic as this piece&#8217;s headline. Anyone who quotes the incidence of something less serious, but mentions something more serious in the same sentence, is deeply suspect &#8211; no matter which particular political direction they&#8217;re trying to nudge you in.</p>
<p>And finally&#8230; shouldn&#8217;t Amnesty be campaigning against abuses of government power, rather than against crime? It&#8217;s as if the RSPCA were suddenly to start funding schools in Africa &#8211; whether or not it&#8217;s a good thing, it&#8217;s certainly not what they&#8217;re for.</p>
<p>In conclusion: 1:10pm, March 6, 2009 &#8211; Time To Finally Give Up on Amnesty International Forever.</p>
<p><i>Update: <a href="http://tygerland.net/2009/03/06/the-final-straw/">oops. Sorry</a>. No, the people who tweeted this campaign aren&#8217;t idiots and don&#8217;t lack integrity &#8211; they&#8217;re well-meaning people who presumably didn&#8217;t expect a respected and generally good organisation like Amnesty to base its campaign on dishonesty, and who&#8217;ve been conned into repeating lies. And that&#8217;s precisely why I&#8217;m so fucking angry about it.</i>.</p>
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